Super Bowl 60 Coin Toss Preview
Like most red-blooded Americans, we like football and we like money. Meeting perfectly at the intersection of those two passions lies the Super Bowl coin toss. What’s not to love about the most publicized currency-adjacent event of the year? Watching fake money go up a little before immediately falling back down to Earth? Even the crypto bros are on board.
Super Bowl 60 Coin Toss Preview: Patriots vs. Seahawks; Heads vs. Tails
While we’ve previously discussed betting on the Super Bowl coin flip, and even dug through the archives to provide a complete history of the all-time Super Bowl coin flip results, we also like to break down the individual coin flip matchup once every 60 years. So here we are, with the Impersonal Finances Super Bowl 60 Coin Toss Preview.
For context and clickthrough rate, our history lesson on the prior 59 tosses can be found here:
The Heads Up Patriots
Let’s start with the Patriots, who have been heads and tails above the rest of the NFL with their record 12th Super Bowl appearance. As the designated home team for Super Bowl 60 (the conferences alternate years), the Patriots will make the call. As an aside, don’t let the white uniforms fool you–the Patriots chose to wear the traditionally road white uniforms despite the home designation, likely due to their 5-0 record in the kits this season and this bit of Super Bowl history: the team wearing white is 37-22 all-time in the Big Game.
But back to the toss. The Patriots are just 3-8 all-time in Super Bowl tosses compared to a 6-5 record in the actual game. In fact, every time the Patriots have won the opening coin flip, they’ve lost the game. When they are the ones making the call, the Pats are 2-4 in the toss, choosing heads in five of their six flips (all but Super Bowl 36 in 2002).
New England’s opponent has called tails in each of the team’s “road” Super Bowls, giving the Patriots heads in 10 of their 11 previous Super Bowl coin flips. And as a bonus: in the first ever Super Bowl overtime in 2017, Patriots special teams ace and coin flip enthusiast Matthew Slater won the toss with–you guessed it–a heads call. Tom Brady then marched the team down the field to complete a 25-point comeback, while the Falcons never got to touch the ball in OT. Heads up call by Slater!
So the NFL team with a literal floating human head on their helmet as been Team Heads in 11 of 12 flips of the coin. Go figure.
Tails Never Fails the Seahawks
The Seahawks don’t have quite the pedigree as the Patriots, but by cherry-picking the data, they’ve been a sneakily frequent Super Bowl flipper. In the last 20 years, only the Patriots and Chiefs (five appearances) will have played in more Super Bowls than Seattle’s four since 2006.
In those three previous Super Bowls, the Seahawks are a perfect 3-0 in the opening coin flip, tails never fails-ing their way to the right to choose whether to kick or receive.
And lo and behold, one of those matchups came against the Patriots, so we have some comparable past results that will surely be indicative of future performance prior to kickoff. In Super Bowl 49 in 2015, the Seahawks won the toss with a tails call before losing the game with a tail-between-their-legs call at the goal line.
Any Flipping Takeaways?
For the real sickos betting on one of the most wagered prop bets of the Super Bowl, and one of the only true 50/50 wagers you will ever make, it’s all about the juice. Find the lowest vig you can (DraftKings has it at -103), and if either side has better odds for some unfathomable reason, take that side of the coin.
Unfortunately, the only props offered are the outcome (heads or tails) and the winner of the toss (Patriots or Seahawks), so you can’t simply bet that the Patriots will call Heads as they almost always have. But you can bet that the Seahawks will keep their unbeaten streak alive, which will of course be with Tails, based on our ever-reliable historical data. And, for a few laughs and a mortgage payment, we’ll do just that.
The Impersonal Finances Prop Bet Lock of Every Sixty Years: Seahawks (-105) & Tails (-103) for 100 BTC to win 196.15 BTC
Post Super Bowl Update: Both losers. Aaand this is why you don’t bet all of your Bitcoin on the Super Bowl coin toss. Maybe next year!
