Comparing My Asset Allocation To Recommended Percentages
After my brush with speculation, it felt good to regain control of my finances by taking a closer look at where my non meme-related investments stood with a closer look at my asset allocation. I wanted to find out what percentage of my net worth was at stake, and how my portfolio compares to recommended allocations. Sometimes it’s nice to bust out the old spreadsheet and put together a bad pie chart to help illustrate your financial situation.
What is the recommended asset allocation?
The personal finance advice of old advocates for using your age as a bond percentage in your portfolio. As in, a 30-year-old should hold a 70 percent stock/30 percent bond portfolio (70/30 portfolio). This would be considered relatively aggressive in the days of old. But this was all before interest rate returns plummeted to next to nothing. Now, investors are seeking alternatives to the non-stock portion of their portfolios, with some interesting (and widely speculative) options available.
For me, I’ve eschewed the bond portion entirely and thrown everything into stocks. For that matter, I’ve funneled most of my savings toward domestic U.S. stocks through a Fidelity S&P 500 fund in my 401k and the preferred VTSAX in my Roth IRA and brokerage accounts. While these investments amount to a very diversified group of over 3,000 stocks, it’s not a very non-diversified portfolio in terms of overall asset classes.
Just how far have I ventured from the 70/30 standard? Let’s take a look.
My Standard Asset Allocation
Stocks – 96.3% of assets
Cash – 3.7% of assets
Bonds – nada
OK, simple enough. If you exclude cash, that’s a 100% allocation of stocks. But what if I break it down by US stocks and international stocks? JL Collins would say that you have enough exposure to international markets via VTSAX, since so many of these companies do business globally. Be that as it may, I wanted to fight the home country bias by allotting a little bit of money to strictly international offerings. Emphasis on a little bit.
My US/International Stock Asset Allocation
US Stocks – 92.9%
Cash – 3.7%
International Stocks – 3.4%
Like I said, very domestic stock heavy, with very little intentional exposure outside of the U.S. Now, what if we break this out by fund type? There’s simplicity of the Vanguard Total International Index (VTIAX) for the small overseas exposure, but it isn’t all Fidelity S&P (FXAIX) and Vanguard Total Stock Market (VTSAX) domestically. There’s some funny money involved—some of which has helped give my portfolio a slight boost, and some of which I may come to regret.
My Fund Type Asset Allocation
U.S. Total Stock Market Fund – 45.5%
S&P 500 Fund – 40%
Individual stocks & ETFs – 7.4%
Cash – 3.7%
Total International Stock Fund – 3.4%
Add up the top two holdings and that’s an 85.5% allocation between the S&P and total stock market index, which makes sense. But let’s dive into these individual stocks and ETFs. It says something that, in speculative times like these, my 100% stock allocation didn’t feel risky enough. Further proof that not only has the market gone insane, but that the white walls have closed in on me a little bit as well. While 85% seems like a good percentage of set and forget index funds, somehow that 7% allocation of individual stocks and ETFs frightens me a bit. Probably for good reason, which I’ll get into. Here’s one last breakdown, this time including each of the individual holdings.
My Individual Holding Asset Allocation
VTSAX – 45.5%
FXAIX – 40%
Cash – 3.7%
VTIAX – 3.4%
ARK funds – 2.8%
AAPL – 2.3%
MSFT – 1.1%
TWTR – 1.1%
I recently divided up some of the cash I brought over from my Ally Bank account into each of the five main ARK fund offerings. Those funds have vastly outperformed the index, largely due to a couple of big winners like Tesla, and could very well run into trouble now that new money has poured into Cathie Wood’s coffers and the funds start to experience profit-taking outflows to a larger degree than ever before. In fact, I’m already down on these investments overall, and even more so as compared to VTSAX. Hence my slight queasiness at this 2.8% of my portfolio. But, shoot, I couldn’t help scratching my speculative itch once more.
I plan to hold onto these volatile funds for a minimum of 5-10 years, though my hands have proven to be more paper than diamond in the past. The experiment will likely only serve to reinforce the beauty of indexing and provide proof yet again of my own stock picking incompetence. Or hey, maybe it will provide me with a small acceleration in my retirement accounts. The bottom line is that these funds are very risky and past performance (and mainstream recognition) may actually hinder future growth, and generally speaking I wouldn’t recommend them (especially with a 0.75% expense ratio!). But for me, it felt like a grown-up way to chase meme stocks without chasing meme stocks—by having someone else chase them for me.
The importance of an asset allocation plan
The important thing for me is that I feel that I found a plan that satisfies my FOMO and keeps me out of my own way, for the most part. ARK is invested in many of the sexy names that have tempted and taunted me for months. Whether this plan is any good is up for debate, but it works for me. Though any amount of money in my portfolio that deviates from VTSAX tends to feel like a mistake—and often is.
As for the individual stock holdings, I’ve held Apple, Microsoft and Twitter since before I really committed to the VTSAX approach, and all have done well with very small amounts of money (TWTR had been the exception until recently). I’m likely going to continue holding these individual stocks, though AAPL and MSFT in particular are plenty well represented in the cap-weighted indexes that make up the majority of my holdings.
Final thoughts on my current asset allocation
Overall, I still have a little bit more cash than I feel that I need on hand, but I plan to keep it that way in preparation for a market downturn that will make me feel like a market timing genius. Until then, it simply serves its function as an emergency fund.
Between my individual holdings and an already heavy tech sector in the U.S. indexes, I’m a little overweight in an area of the market that seems ripe for a correction. But time should theoretically be on my side, and I’m in a position to weather a future storm. I’ll continue to dollar cost average into VTSAX and FXAIX on a monthly basis, so the percentage of set-and-forget index fund holdings will only increase barring a catastrophe.
So there you have it, a little personal finance porn in the form of some big ole assets. What’s your asset allocation look like? Have you gotten in your own way recently like I have?
While you answer those questions, please excuse me while I change all of my passwords to random and forgettable keystrokes in an attempt to avoid any further tinkering.
Total stock market index funds are large-cap weighted.
S&P 500 funds are inherently large-cap.
Are you certain that you want to be that heavy in large-cap stocks?
They’ve had a good run for the past ~10 years, but you might want to consider Paul Merriman’s advice to get some a small-cap index fund and/or value stock fund as well, just to tilt the balance back.
That’s not a bad point. I have considered Vanguard’s small cap fund as well as their emerging markets fund. Generally speaking, investing for 30+ years, I’m pretty comfortable with VTSAX in my personal brokerage and S&P in my 401k.
If it makes you feel any better, I’m in the same boat as you technically with 100% stock allocation 0% bonds, and my portfolio is heavily weighted towards tech. At least we’re not 100% invested in meme stocks! You’re definitely right that there will be volatility in the coming weeks and I agree with your strategy to buy more ARK as it’ll be discounted.
100% stocks all the way! I averaged down a little bit on ARK and will probably leave it at that (unless we’re looking at significantly more declines). Bad timing on my part, but doesn’t change my timeline, and dedicating 3% of my assets towards growth won’t make or break anything. On the plus side, I have officially cured myself of FOMO haha
We’re more like 50% stocks (via retirement accounts) and 50% real estate. I can’t articulate any coherent rationale for that, aside from it just feeling good to us. The real estate chunk feels like something that we at least have some control over, and that income stream is a part of our retirement plan that’s easy to wrap our heads around. And given the SoCal location not too far from the beach, it feels reasonably safe. I know that’s not much of a financial analysis, but it works for us.
Adding real estate is definitely a goal of mine in the near future, and that passive income is great. Real estate is booming again so I may have missed a great chance to get in. Owning property near the beach sounds like a good strategy to me, personal finance or otherwise!
Yeah it’s tough not jumping around or tinkering with the portfolio at times. Usually that ends up hurting more than helping. By the time I read something successful happening I figure I’m late to the party and just stay the course.
My allocations are pretty similar to yours. Percentage wise I’m at 20% VFWAX international, the rest domestic all stocks mostly VTSAX. My plan is to grow international to 30% over the couple of years. I also jumped on vanguards small cap growth index fund in Jan (I may be late to that party too lol). I predict inflation stifling domestic equities then a surge to international this decade.
As I near retirement in 5-6 years I’ll move over to 25ish% bonds/REITS and 75% Index. Then hopefully ride out the first 5 years of FI solely selling bonds.
I don’t know what’s gotten into me–I usually am very content with index funds and entertained by the rest. I blame pandemic boredom most of all. Clearly, I’m right there with you on being late to the party.
I like that plan to gain a little more international exposure, and that’s my read of it too. In the meantime, hopefully there’s still juice left to squeeze out of the small caps!
Real estate is a glaring omission from my asset column, and one I’d like to address in the near future, but haven’t really pursued to great lengths just yet.
oh, it’s tough to put a slug of cash into those ark funds and watch them plummet right after. i just sold some dog stocks and bought new growth ones and the same thing happened. we both know the long term view is what matters but the psychology of it still stinks.
we have 60% individual stocks, 19% 401k funds, 12% fixed income (preferred stock ETF’s), and about 9% cash. most of that cash is in a stable value fund which will yield much better than a savings account at least.
your asset allocation makes perfect sense to me. any plan to dollar cost average into any more stocks/ARK funds if they keep sinking?
Haha what a day to post this… woof. Timing and luck can have a lot to do with returns, and I think it’ll be another rough week or two for ARK now that the outflows have started pouring and the momentum has been halted for the moment. I’m going to grin and bear it and I will probably try to catch the falling knife and buy the dip if it continues–which will lead me to a heavier allocation than I wanted but so it goes. I get the criticism and concerns in the short term but still like a lot of the holdings long term. With how well your individual stocks have done I would feel plenty comfortable with that as 60%!
It has been many years since I have held bonds. One needs to be a multi-millionaire to be able to live off the proceeds of the rock-solid government bonds, and the riskier corporate bonds have yields that are only slightly better. I don’t know if it is the same in the US, but interest income in Canada is the least advantaged form of investment income.
Bonds have offered capital gains in the past couple of decades, but capital gains on bonds comes when interest rates fall. Interest rates can’t fall much further.
My allocation is 100% stocks. However, that statement requires some expanding.
1. Many of my stocks are preferred shares, which are safer than common shares and behave a lot like bonds. Preferred shares are often considered “fixed income”.
2. Most of my common stocks are dividend-paying blue chip stocks. I also hold a few CEFs (Closed-end funds).
So, while I don’t hold any bonds, I have a pretty conservative 100% equity portfolio.
I think that’s the way to go, especially at current interest rates. I know a lot of people lean heavily toward dividend stocks, which is something I’ll probably allocate more into as I get older. I’ve always looked at non-dividend stocks as companies that simply reinvest their own dividends, hopefully in exchange for more growth.